A macroeconomic overview
Among the fastest growing metroplis in Europe
Seen over the (pre-pandemic) period 2003-2019, Stockholm’s gross domestic product (GDP) grew by an average of 3.7 percent per year. This makes Stockholm having one of the fastest growing economies among the 20 most competitive metropolitan regions in Western Europe, second only to Dublin – the fangs of the “Celtic Tiger” – and side by side with Berlin, a regional economy still strongly fueled by the tremendous amounts of public investments and private firm re-establishments that took place in the wake of the German reunification.
Projection: Stockholm maintains its top position
Amonge 20 metropolitan regions, Stockholm is expected to have the second highest population growth until the year 2040. Since long-term employment growth is determined by population growth, this implies that Stockholm has an important component in place to guarantee continued rapid economic growth.
You can get a rough prognosis of future GDP growth by combining expected future population growth and historic productivity growth. With this approximate forecasting method, Stockholm is projected to maintain its top position among the 20 most competitive metropolitans In Europe, once again second only to Dublin.
A balanced growth path
An economy can grow in two ways; either by increasing the number of hours worked or by having each employed person produce more per hour, i.e. through increased labor productivity.
Stockholm exhibits a good balance between these two sources of economic growth. From 2003 to 2019, employment grew by an average of 1.5 percent per year, while annual productivity growth amounted to an average of 2.2 percent.
An economy characterized by both high productivity growth and high employment growth tends to offer a less bumpy ride along the business cycle. If productivity growth for some reason suddenly falls sharply, the high underlying employment growth works as a cushion for the regional economy – and vice versa.